Solar-Climate Theory Sheds New Light On History Of Chinese Civilization

great wall of china

Scientists say they have found evidence beneath a lake in northeastern China that ties climate change and 500-year sun cycles to ups and downs in the 8,000 years of Chinese civilization.

According to the study by a team at the Institute of Geology and Geophysics in Beijing published in the science journal Nature Communications this month, whenever the climate warmed, Chinese civilization prospered and when it cooled, it declined.

While historians have used various social and economic factors to explain changes over the millennia, Dr. Xu Deke, lead author of the paper, and his colleagues said that while people played their part, their study indicated that cycles in solar activity influenced human activity.

“We just point out there is a natural constraint on human efforts,” Xu said.

Previous research linking Chinese history to climate relied on written records, but ancient texts contained only subjective descriptions of the weather and social development. The records also go back only so far – writing in China was not invented until 3,600 years ago.

For this latest study, the team and its leader, Chinese Academy of Sciences professor Lu Houyuan, took plant and lake bed sediment samples to track climate change over the centuries and compared them with written records.

They visited Lake Xiaolongwan in the Changbai Mountains in Jilin province and studied the spread of plant life such as oak trees to map the transitions between warm and cold climate phases in northern China.

By comparing the records and their research, the scientists found that the warmer the climate, the more prosperous the civilization in terms of grain cultivation, animal domestication and human settlement.

Over the decades, researchers have established more than 4,000 carbon dating databases for archaeological finds in northern China.

From these, the team obtained a benchmark for the intensity of human activity in different periods. Their study also found that 500-year cycles often ended with rapid climate cooling.

Whenever that happened, societies started to collapse and neither culture nor political systems could sustain them. This, Xu said, was a lesson for modern China.

“The most effective countermeasure is science and technology,” he said. “We are in a much more capable position than our ancestors with the help of technology and machines in the face of global cooling, but preparation must start now.”

Citing this and earlier studies, Xu said that over the next few decades the Earth would enter 25 years of cooling, although greenhouse gases could slow the temperature drop.

Cooling would increase the size of polar ice caps and lower sea levels. Areas such as southern China could benefit as land would be reclaimed from the sea.

But overall, a cooling climate would continue to have a more negative effect on civilization than warming, Xu said.

Dr. Liu Yonggang, a Peking University scientist who studies ancient climate, said the researchers had provided important new information and perspectives.

Human societies have gone through temperature cycles such as the Medieval Warm Period (900- 1300) and Little Ice Age (1300-1870) Liu said, but most of that data came from Europe, not China.

The study left one big question. “Why do the sun’s activities vary every 500 years? Nobody can explain,” he said.

“We need to know more about the inner working mechanism of the sun, otherwise the future remains unpredictable.”

Read more at South China Morning Post


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Comments (5)

  • Avatar

    Pierre D. Bernier

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    Why is it that it,s always a team of Geology and Geophysics and not climatololowijiboards that get the real data ?

    Reply

  • Avatar

    Charles Higley

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    “Citing this and earlier studies, Xu said that over the next few decades the Earth would enter 25 years of cooling, although greenhouse gases could slow the temperature drop.”

    There’s the ever-present money phrase, supporting CO2 global warming.

    Since CO2 is incapable of warming anything, it will not delay any future cooling. CO2 has three IR radiation absorption peaks. Two are equivalent to 400 and 800°C blackbody radiation. Only sunlight could access these bands and CO2 would act to dissipate a little bit of insolation.

    The 3rd band is equivalent to –80°C and, as nothing is colder than that on Earth, it cannot warm anything. Such IR would be reflected by Earth’s surface and lost to space. As CO2 can convert heat in the air to excite this band, it is a great refrigerant as its goal is to bring the temperature down to –80°C. We are only now finally recognizing that we should be, and are beginning to use, CO2 in out refrigerators and air conditions. Mercedes is already using it in their new cars and a number of new skating rinks are cooling with CO2 refrigeration. Imagine how cheap CO2 is compared to the HFCs we use today. Wow.

    Reply

  • Avatar

    Graeme Mochrie

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    Is this related to a periodicity in solar magnetic strength?

    Reply

  • Avatar

    jerry krause

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    Hi PSI Readers,

    You have read: “Dr. Liu Yonggang, a Peking University scientist who studies ancient climate, said the researchers had provided important new information and perspectives.

    Human societies have gone through temperature cycles such as the Medieval Warm Period (900- 1300) and Little Ice Age (1300-1870) Liu said, but most of that data came from Europe, not China.

    The study left one big question. “Why do the sun’s activities vary every 500 years? Nobody can explain,” he said.””

    Did you notice that 1300 minus 900 is 400 and that 1870 minus 1300 is 570? So my question is: Is there a 500 year solar cycle?

    Have a good day, Jerry

    Reply

    • Avatar

      jerry krause

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      Hi PSI Readers,

      I should have noted the 2020 minus 1870 is only 150 years and asked: What happened to the 500 year solar cycle?

      Have a good day, Jerry

      Reply

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