Revealed: Basic Math Error Likely Cause of Global Coronavirus Panic!

Written by Jim Holt

Before the US economy disintegrates into nothingness — Will any so-called expert out there also notice that the WHO Director caused a global coronavirus panic over a basic math error?

The controversial Ethiopian politician and Director General of the World Health Organization (WHO), Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, claimed in a press conference in early March that the fatality rate for the coronavirus was many multiples that of the fatality rate of the common flu.

This egregiously false premise has led to the greatest economic panic in world history.

The Director General of the WHO spoke on March 3, 2020 and shared this related to the coronavirus:

While many people globally have built up immunity to seasonal flu strains, COVID-19 is a new virus to which no one has immunity. That means more people are susceptible to infection, and some will suffer severe disease.

Globally, about 3.4% of reported COVID-19 cases have died. By comparison, seasonal flu generally kills far fewer than 1% of those infected.

Here is the video of Dr. Ghebreyesus’s remarks.

This statement led to the greatest panic in world history as the global elite media shared and repeated that the coronavirus was many, many times more deadly than the common flu.

The problem is his statement is false. 

It was not accurate! 

As The Gateway Pundit reported Monday,  the coronavirus mortality rate reported by the media as stated by Dr. Ghebreyesus is completely inaccurate.

Here’s a summary of the analysis updated with today’s latest numbers proving the Director General’s statement was very misleading and materially false:

N/A – not available

A look at the numbers:

** Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus used the actual number of deaths due to coronavirus divided by confirmed cases to get his 3.4% mortality rate number (from last week -since that time the mortality rate based on current reported numbers is near 4%)

** Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus then compared the actual coronavirus mortality rate to an estimated flu mortality rate of 0.1% —  The US flu mortality rate is based on an estimated 22,000 deaths divided by an estimated 36 million flu cases giving a 0.1% mortality rate.

** Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus compared known numbers for coronavirus (3.4 percent mortality rate) but did not include the estimated number of those infected who are asymtomatic. This number is likely in the tens of thousands and could be in the millions!  There is no way of knowing right now. One study released this week revealed that 6 of 7 people infected by coronavirus are asymptomatic! They do not know they are infected!

** Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus then compared the known numbers of 206,845 cases of coronavirus to the millions of estimated annual cases of flu cases.  Again he does not include the asymtomatic cases, the 6 of 7 people infected who do not suffer severe symptoms.

** If asymtomatic cases are included in Ghebreyesus’s calculation the actual mortality rate of the coronavirus is somewhere between 0.2% to 0.8% or lower.

** Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus’s calculations of a 3.4% mortality rate is off by nearly 3.0%! 

Ghebreyesus compared apples to oranges and his numbers were completely inaccurate!

* * * * * * * * * * *

As of Wednesday morning.

There were 7,301 confirmed cases in the US.

There were 116 confirmed deaths associated with the coronavirus in the US.

The mortality rate for those two sets of numbers is 1.6%.

We also know that according to a new study by the journal Science — 6 of 7 coronavirus victims, or 86% of infections, were undocumented.

If latest study published in the Science journal is correct then the coronavirus scare will be the greatest hoax in world history causing trillions and trillions of dollars in economic damage.

The WHO and Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus need to be held responsible!

Read more at www.thegatewaypundit.com


PRINCIPIA SCIENTIFIC INTERNATIONAL, legally registered in the UK as a company incorporated for charitable purposes. Head Office: 27 Old Gloucester Street, London WC1N 3AX. 

Please DONATE TODAY To Help Our Non-Profit Mission To Defend The Scientific Method.

Comments (12)

  • Avatar

    kapoore

    |

    I am 70 so I fall into one of the “at-risk” categories, so I have been cautious. As more information comes out I think there is a problem with health workers and doctors who are not immune to Covid-19. Most doctors are not afraid of a flu patient and most older people are at least partially immune to the flu, so that is the difference. Doctors don’t catch the flu from their patients the way they catch this new virus. We are trying to save our healthcare workers–that’s the way I see it: Probably at the expense of the economy.

    • Avatar

      Adele Harrison

      |

      Figures, since it’s from the World Health Organization.

  • Avatar

    T. C. Clark

    |

    I don’t trust any of the “numbahs”….sort of like those global warming temps. It appears China first tried to ignore and downplay the virus like it was just some more flu but it did not work – I am satisfied that it is nasty stuff and I am even using bleach wipes when I am the only person at home…unnecessary but comforting.

  • Avatar

    Aaron Christiansen

    |

    From their previous extreme…

    https://twitter.com/WHO/status/1217043229427761152

    Preliminary investigations conducted by the Chinese authorities have found no clear evidence of human-to-human transmission of the novel #coronavirus (2019-nCoV) identified in #Wuhan, #China

  • Avatar

    Kessman

    |

    There are 2 issues that need to be cleared up.
    1. Simply because you are 70 yrs of age does not mean you are a high risk! You have to have medical complications In addition to bring 70.
    2. Out of the 116 confirmed deaths, there are 55 that have come from the state of Washington’s nursing home before anyone was aware of what needed to be done to protect the people at the nursing home. If you remove that anomaly the % of deaths is even lower.
    I am not dismissing the Corvid19 as a health risk but the panic is unneccesary.

  • Avatar

    Kessman

    |

    There are 2 issues that need to be cleared up.
    1. Simply because you are 70 yrs of age does not mean you are a high risk! You have to have medical complications In addition to bring 70.
    2. Out of the 116 confirmed deaths, there are 55 that have come from the state of Washington’s nursing home before anyone was aware of what needed to be done to protect the people at the nursing home. If you remove that anomaly the % of deaths is even lower.
    I am not dismissing the Corvid19 as a health risk but the panic is unnecessary

  • Avatar

    Jan Sevenhans

    |

    Corona : 475 death in Italy now per day and 1500 new confirmed patients …

    • Avatar

      Tom O

      |

      John, what’s your point? The comment you are replying to says 475 deaths per day. I find that hard to believe, but if that was so, that would be 170,000+ per year. Do the math before you react because you don’t believe the virus is what it is made out to be. I see it as a gateway for mandatory immunizations and RFID tagging, but you need to address his numbers, and you didn’t ,

      • Avatar

        Andy Rowlands

        |

        The 2009 ‘swine flu’ is estimated to have infected between 700 million and 1.4 billion people worldwide, with somewhere between 150,000–575,000 deaths, depending on which study is examined. A follow-up study done in September 2010 showed that the risk of serious illness of the 2009 H1N1 flu was no higher than the yearly seasonal flu.

        The 1918-20 ‘Spanish Flu’ epidemic infected approximately 500 million people worldwide, and deaths are estimated anywhere from 17 million to 50 million. Both this and the 2009 epidemic are from the same H1N1 virus.

        The World Health Organisation estimates there are between 290,000 and 650,000 deaths from flu every year.

        We did not have the panic and hysteria in 2009 and attempts to shut the world down, and we don’t have it every year about flu deaths, so why the hell are we doing it now??

  • Avatar

    John O'Sullivan

    |

    Tom, My point is that a sense of proportion is needed and people shouldn’t be comparing ‘apples with oranges’ to unreasonably extrapolate to nonsensical and alarmist extremes. For example, by projection of 475 daily deaths to 170,000 per year when it is widely understood that viral infections are predominantly seasonal, not annual and in the northern hemisphere death rates will fall in as warmer weather occurs.

  • Avatar

    The Grim Reaper

    |

    The average death rate in Italy at this time of year is at least 1500 per day. How many of these 475 deaths linked to COVID-19 are extra deaths over and above the natural toll rate? Most of these deaths are elderly patients with pre-existing medical conditions who were already on my long list of soon-to-be-harvested souls, ready to shake off their mortal coils and lining-up somewhere along the corridor terminating at death’s door. Perhaps they’re just being nudged towards the front of the queue?

    Wishful Thinking: Someone suggested that I host a dinner party with an open invitation to IPCC members, AGW alarmists and certain commentators on PSI. On the menu: Salmon Mousse.

Comments are closed