Greenhouse Gases in the Atmosphere Cool the Earth!

Written by Robert Ashworth, Nasif Nahle and Hans Schreuder

In 2001, the United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) announced that carbon dioxide (CO2) was causing the earth to warm and developed computer models to predict how much the earth would warm in the future.

Does any empirical scientific evidence exist to support this premise of the IPCC? The answer is no, in fact it is just the opposite, CO2 has a cooling effect. The major components in the atmosphere that cause the earth to be cooler than it would be otherwise are the so-called greenhouse gases.

Calling these gases greenhouse gases are misnomers. Yet, many meteorologists have blamed water vapor and carbon dioxide in the atmosphere for warming the earth. Below is an excerpt from a paper 1 written by meteorologists from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

“Water vapor plays the central role in the atmospheric branch of the global hydrologic cycle and is the most abundant greenhouse gas. Climate models used for estimating effects of increases in greenhouse gases show substantial increases in water vapor as the globe warms and this increased moisture would further increase the warming.”

They got it backwards about water vapor just as Al Gore did about CO2 in his “Inconvenient Truth” presentation of the Vostok Ice Core data.

Gore’s “Inconvenient Truth” Documentary had Cause and Effect Reversed In Al Gore’s presentation of his “Inconvenient Truth” documentary, he conveniently separated the Vostok Ice core temperature and CO2 graphs so you could not see which came first, a warming spike or a CO2 spike. He said that a CO2 spike came first but alas, it was the just the opposite as shown in the Vostok Ice Core graph in Figure 1.

Fig. 1. Vostok, Antarctica Ice Core Data 2 .

When both lines are combined on one graph, suitably enlarged and viewed in the correct direction from left to right, it is clearly seen that a warming spike always comes first (blue line) followed by a CO2 increase (red line) some 800 years later.

There are many reasons for the oceans to warm and cool over long periods of time and those influences are not the subject of this paper. Warming of the oceans reduces the solubility of CO2 in water which results in the liberation of CO2. An additional effect of the oceans warming up is that more water vaporizes and for each pound of water evaporated 1,000 Btu of cooling occurs.

Increased water vapor and CO2 in the atmosphere then causes a further cooling effect through the reflection of more radiation back to outer space. Nature has this under control. Gore also gave no explanation what would cause a CO2 spike to occur in the first place.

What is so disturbing here is that, just like Al Gore, many climatologists and meteorologists seem to have a problem discerning cause and effect. It is very simple, if what you call an effect comes first, you have it backwards; a cause always comes first to produce the effect.

Proof Greenhouse Gases Cool the Earth

Proof 1: 9-11 Analysis

NASA scientists claimed Cirrus clouds, formed by contrails from aircraft engine exhaust, are capable of increasing average surface temperatures enough to account for the warming trend in the United States that occurred between 1975 and 1994.

“According to Patrick Minnis, a senior research scientist at NASA’s Langley Research Center in Hampton, Va., there has been a one percent per decade increase in cirrus cloud cover over the United States, likely due to air traffic. Cirrus clouds exert a warming influence on the surface by allowing most of the sun’s rays to pass through but then trapping some of the resulting heat emitted by the surface and lower atmosphere.3

This explanation is wrong. These clouds will cool the earth, not warm it. There is more radiant energy coming from the sun to the earth than from the earth to the sky. More radiant energy will be blocked during the day than will be blocked leaving the earth at night (insulating effect). The overall effect is cooling, not warming.

This cooling effect of water vapor was proved following the 9-11 terrorist attacks. Atmospheric scientists studied the effect of water vapor on temperature in the wake of the attacks. The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) prohibited commercial aviation over the United States for three days following the attacks and this presented a unique opportunity to study the temperature of the earth without airplanes and their contrails.

Dr. David Travis, an atmospheric scientist at the University of Wisconsin, along with two other scientists, looked at how temperatures for those three days compared to other days when planes were flying. They analyzed maximum and minimum temperature data from about 4,000 weather stations throughout the conterminous (48 states) United States for the period 1971–2000, and compared those to the conditions that prevailed during the three-day aircraft grounding period and the three days when planes were flying before and after the grounding period.

This research effort was sponsored by grants from the National Science Foundation. 3 They found that the average daily temperature range between highs and lows was 1.1 degrees C higher during September 11-14 (shown graphically in Figure 2) compared to September 8-11 and September 14-17 with normal air traffic.

Fig. 2. Average diurnal (daily) temperature range (DTR) 4 The data proved that contrails (condensed water vapor trails) have a net cooling effect.

You cannot just look at a nighttime effect only, like the IPCC climatologists and meteorologists have done, both day and night must be included to determine the overall effect. Water vapor, CO2 and particulates in the atmosphere all reflect as well as scatter some radiant energy back to outer space and this causes cooling.

Here is a simple test, go outside when the sun is shining, see how warm you feel when you are in the direct sunlight and compare that with how warm you feel when a cloud goes overhead and you are in the shade of the cloud. Of course you feel cooler in the shade of the cloud; a child knows this.

So Dr. Travis confirmed this with scientific analysis of real data that most people on this planet already know. Everyone also knows that cloud cover at night (more insulation) prevents the earth from cooling off as fast as it does when there are no clouds. However, on a relatively clear night if a cloud goes overhead you cannot feel any warming effect of the cloud, so this insulating effect is shown to be minimal compared to the daytime effect.

Another simple observation that shows Minnis and other warming supporters have it backwards. However, Minnis acknowledged the cooling effect found by Travis . He and three other authors wrote, “Instantaneously, contrail radiative forcing can warm the atmosphere and warm or cool the earth’s surface, apparently reducing the diurnal range of surface temperature.” This is like saying if you light a fire you may get warmer or cooler from radiative forcing. Is this flawed logic why they have developed such illogical conclusions about the climate?

Proof 2: Comparison of Earth And Mars average temperatures

Both Earth and Mars rotate around the Sun and also rotate on their axes. The rotation time for Earth is 23.9 hours and for Mars is 24.6 hours so they are similar but Mars is only around 10% of the mass of the Earth.

The atmospheric pressure on Earth is 1 atmosphere and the atmospheric pressure on Mars is 0.007 times the earth’s atmosphere. The atmosphere on earth is primarily nitrogen (79%) and oxygen (21%) and on Mars it is approximately 95% carbon dioxide and 5% nitrogen.

So the Mars atmosphere is a very small fraction of the Earths. There is approximately 400 ppmv of CO2 in the Earth’s atmosphere or (400/1000000) x 1 = 0.0004 atmospheres (earth). The CO2 in the Mars’ Atmosphere is 0.95 x 0.007 = 0.00665 atmospheres (earth). However if you add water vapor which they also call a greenhouse gas the partial pressure of CO2 plus water vapor at say 1 vol.% in the earth’s atmosphere the total partial pressure for the two is (0.01 + 0.0004) or 0.0104 compared to the 0.00665 for CO2 on Mars, so if greenhouse gases caused warming, the earth’s atmosphere would warm more than the Mars atmosphere when hit by radiant energy. Is this what happens? No!

The earth gets hit on average by 1367.5 watts/m2 and Mars by 589.2 watts/m2 of solar irradiance 6. The average temperature on earth is 288.3K* and the average temperature on Mars is 208.3K 7. Now then, if the Earth had the same composition (no free water) and atmosphere as Mars, based on the solar irradiance hitting it, compared to Mars, the average temperature on earth would be (1367.6/589.2) x 208.3 = 483.5K. The earth’s atmosphere is shown by this analysis to have a cooling effect of (483.5K -288.3K) or 195oC more than the Mars atmosphere.

*K is the symbol for Kelvin, the absolute temperature scale used in scientific calculations and zero K is equivalent to minus 273.15oC. Convention has it that no degree symbol is used for K.

Does Atmospheric CO2 Change Correlate with Earth Temperature Change?

Having conclusively proved that water vapor and clouds have a cooling effect, does a correlation of real data exist between the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere and the earth’s temperature? No, that does not exist either, look at Figure 3 below developed by Joseph D’Aleo a certified meteorologist that was extended by the authors from 2008 through November 2010.

Fig. 3. Earth Temperature and Atmospheric CO2 Concentration 8 .

Even a non-scientist can see there is no correlation between CO2 concentration in the atmosphere and the earth’s temperature. The CO2 has been on a continuous upward trend – not true for the earth’s temperature. CO2 cools the earth like water vapor does but since it is in parts per million in the atmosphere, unlike water vapor, the effect is so minimal it cannot be detected.

#Atmospheric concentrations of CO2 were taken at the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii. Two sets of temperature measurements are included, one set by NASA’s Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU) for the troposphere and the other by the UK’s Hadley Climate Research Unit for the land and sea. Both show normal temperature variations over time as CO2 increased from 366 ppmv in January 1998 to 389 ppmv in November 2010.

Note as well that the lower troposphere temperature (blue line) in November 2010 was some 0.37oC lower than it was in the normally colder month of January in 1998, so overall there is no global warming trend anyway. Man-made global warming advocates also say that CO2 builds up in the atmosphere over a 50 to 250 year period, but this is not true. The graph above shows that the CO2 concentration oscillates based on the growing seasons. The cycles of the CO2 concentration swing is in the 5 to 8 ppmv range.

If CO2 stayed in the atmosphere for long periods before being consumed, the cyclical effect of the growing seasons would not be seen. It is clear that nature reacts very fast in its consumption of carbon dioxide. The steady rise in atmospheric CO2 is most likely linked with the time period known as the Medieval Warm Period, some 800 years ago, as that would confirm the ice-core records where higher atmospheric CO2 slowly follows higher ocean temperatures.

Figure 4 shows the likely reality of this warmer period with the unlikely hockey-stick illusion developed by Michael Mann through data manipulation and once used by the UN IPCC.

Fig. 4. Propaganda graphics versus reality 9 .

Do UN IPCC Predictions fit in with Actual Observations?

The graph in Figure 5 shows the IPPC computer modeling projections from the year 2000 to 2100 based on various assumptions linked to increasing CO2 in the atmosphere. The black line from 1998 to 2010 was added by the authors to the IPCC graph; it shows the actual measured surface temperatures. .

Fig. 5. IPPC Predictions compared to Actual Surface Temperature Measurements 10

The actual temperature for November, 2010 was some 0.32 oC cooler than the IPCC projection based on the lowest assumed growth rate of CO2 they used. On an actual temperature basis, one sees that the IPCC models predict temperatures that are not even close to actual measurements.

Yet they continue to use these flawed computer models, while dismissing the actual temperature measurements by claiming they cover too short a time period. We will wait and see who is right. It reminds one of the computer models used to predict where Hurricane Ike would hit the U. S. in 2008. Five meteorological models all predicted the hurricane would hit the west coast of Florida, then changed it to New Orleans, then to Galveston, down to Corpus Christi and then back up to Galveston, where it finally hit, all of this over a five day period. Here again, historically, most meteorological models have not proven trustworthy. These IPCC predictions are a result of a head-in-the-sand approach that produces the classic “garbage in – garbage out” analysis for computer models.

Human Made Emissions of Carbon Dioxide (CO2)

You may not realize this, but CO2 emissions created by human activities such as combustion of fuels, etc. (called anthropogenic emissions) are miniscule compared to the emissions of CO2 from nature. Table 1 was developed by the UN IPCC. It shows annual CO2 emissions to the atmosphere from both nature and human-made sources and how much of the CO2 emitted is reabsorbed by nature. 7

So Nature absorbs 98.5% of the CO2 that is emitted by nature and humans. There were many claims about how long man-made CO2 remained in the atmosphere in the IPCC reports and they varied from a few years to as much as a 100 years in the political summary of the 2007 IPPC report and even more wild claims outside of the IPCC reports mentioned more than a thousand years.

Let us fill a container with 1 unit of CO2 generated at a uniform rate in a year. Now we will drain that container at a rate that removes 98.5% of it in a year, but we will keep removing it at that rate until the container is empty. The time to empty the container is (1/0.985) years or 1.015 years. Seeing that 1.015 years is 370.73 days – with 365.25 days per year – and knowing that the drain rate was constant, this means that a half unit of CO2 was drained in 370.73 / 2 = 185.36 days.

This rate of removal calculation is pretty simple compared to the gyrations people go through to get the many years numbers, which makes this number much more believable. Using the table above in combination with the average concentration of 373 ppmv of CO2 seen in the atmosphere in 2001, one sees that the CO2 caused by all of our activities amounts to only 10.8 ppmv for 2001.

If, on a worldwide basis, we eliminated all anthropogenic CO2 emissions in November 2010 (see Figure 3), we would go back to the level we had in 2004, making carbon dioxide emission reductions counter-productive and a complete waste of resources. As CO2 increases in the atmosphere, nature’s controlling mechanism causes plant growth to increase via photosynthesis; CO2 is absorbed, and oxygen is liberated.

Photosynthesis is an endothermic (cooling) reaction. Furthermore, a doubling of CO2 will increase the photosynthesis rate by 30 to 100%, depending on other environmental conditions such as temperature and available moisture 11 .

More CO2 is absorbed by the plants due to the increased concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere available for conversion to carbohydrates. Nature therefore has in place a built-in mechanism to regulate the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere that will always completely dwarf our feeble attempts to regulate it.

Even the US Dept of Energy knows this, yet gets it all wrong when they write a paper on it, see page 13 and reference 28. Further, no regulation by us is necessary because CO2 is not a pollutant; it is part of the animal and plant life cycle. Without it, there would be no life on earth. Increased CO2 in the atmosphere increases plant growth, which is a good thing during continued world population growth and an increasing demand for food.

No Greenhouse Signature in the Atmosphere

The IPCC developed a theoretical greenhouse signature through a computer model. Their theoretical greenhouse signature is very distinct – see Figure 6. If this signature were present, warming would be concentrated in a distinct “hot spot” about 8 to 12 km up over the tropics, with less warming further away, turning to cooling above 18 km.

Actual measurements have been taken where the warming should be occurring according to the models using satellites and balloons. The real observed signature is shown in Figure 7. As one can clearly see, the predicted IPCC “Greenhouse” signature is not seen – no “hot spot” exists!

Heat Transfer by Radiation from Gas to Solid

The Stefan-Boltzmann Law, that has been verified experimentally, states that the total radiation from a black body is proportional to the fourth power of its absolute temperature. For non black bodies there is an emissivity correction that must be applied based on the emissivity of the non black body compared to a black body at the same temperature.

Radiation between gases does not follow the Stefan-Boltzmann law for radiation between solid surfaces. When radiant energy passes through certain gases and vapors an appreciable portion within certain frequencies may be absorbed but practically no radiant energy will be absorbed within other frequencies. The following method of estimating the rate of heat transfer by radiation from carbon dioxide and water vapor to a bounding solid surface was developed by Hottel and Egbert 14 .

The rate of heat transfer by radiation between a hemispherical mass of gas with a radius (L), partial pressure of gas emitting radiation of (p) atmospheres, at the uniform absolute temperature of the gas (Tg), and a small element of solid surface at its absolute temperature (Ts) with a surface emissivity (es) located on the base of the hemisphere at its center is:

The emissivity of the gas depends on the temperature of the gas and the product pL. When the gas contains a mixture of CO2 and water vapor, the combined radiation from these two gases is less than the sum of their separate effects and a correction factor is applied based on the partial pressures of the two gases. One can see from this equation that the net heat transfer is always from the more intense emitter to the less intense emitter, never vice versa.

So one cannot show a balance where a cooler body is heating a warmer body; that is impossible and is a violation of the second law of thermodynamics! Many scientists are confused over thermal equilibrium issues associated with analyzing the climate. There are two fundamental errors on how many handle the physical concepts of the Earth’s thermal equilibrium and of blackbodies.

The Earth cannot reach thermal equilibrium for many reasons, but mainly because the Earth is not a blackbody because, simply, it does not absorb all the energy it receives 15. For the same reason, the atmosphere is not, and does not behave like, a blackbody and it is not even a near-blackbody system. Let us examine the first mistake.

Thermal equilibrium refers to the approaching to almost the same temperature of two interrelated systems, where one of them is warmer than the other system and the warmer system transfers some of its energy to the colder system 16. In other words, between two interrelated systems, the warmer system does work, in the form of heat, on the colder system, not the other way around 16, 17 .

On planet Earth, which has a great diversity of subsystems 18, it is physically impossible to obtain thermal equilibrium spontaneously, i.e. in nature. Simply, let us measure the energy contained by two or more small adjacent volumes of air; one will offer an energy density higher or lower than the other adjacent air volumes.

This is considering solely one of those subsystems, the atmosphere. The Earth rotates over its own axis, giving place to the alternating diurnal and nocturnal periods. We cannot speak of a planetary thermal equilibrium when a half of the terrestrial sphere receives solar light, gaining energy incoming from the Sun, whereas the other is in darkness, losing the solar energy that it had received during the daytime. We always find differences of the density of energy between one hemisphere and the other. Besides, the thermal equilibrium concept only happens when the temperature of both systems keeps constant 17.

When have we seen the temperature of the Earth being constant? The answer is nowhere and never. The temperature suffers fluctuations many times a second all day long. Whichever subsystem we examine, even the temperature of the endothermic living beings, which self-regulate their body temperature, fluctuates many times a second 19 .

On the other hand, if AGW hypothesis proponents are referring to a thermal equilibrium between the density of the incident solar energy on the Earth’s surface and the Earth’s surface density of 10 energy, they are making a most important mistake because the Earth’s surface never reaches the density of energy that the incoming stream from the Sun has.

The density of energy of the solar stream is always higher than the density of energy of the surface. The absorbent system disperses the energy that it does not “use”, like work, towards other systems; to outer space, for example. We know this class of energy as “heat”, i.e. energy in transit. Obviously, the energy in transit, or in the very moment of the transferring process, by any means, cannot be stored; it is energy in transit from one energized system to another less-energized system.

As a result, thermal equilibrium only occurs in mathematically isolated systems where the primary source of energy for both systems, the emitter and the absorber, has been artificially eliminated. The real Earth system cannot ever reach a thermal equilibrium because its primary source of energy is always present and the Earth rotates.

The Sun is this source in this case and, as we have observed in the last decades, it is not too stable. With the latter assertion, it is not being said that the Sun is a meta-stable system, not even in the long term and this statement must be clear. Have we ever seen the global climate as being stable or, at least, quasi-stable? No, we have never seen such a phenomenon.

Regarding the concept of blackbody systems, the actual physical concept says that a blackbody is an idealized system that “absorbs” all the energy, at all spectral bands and wavelengths and all temperatures that it receives from a source 20, which, consequently must be in a higher energy density level than the absorbent blackbody. We cannot say the atmosphere is a blackbody because it has a very limited (low) absorptivity.

By applying the scientifically accepted algorithms, which derive from experimentation 16, to calculate the absorptivity of the air, we find that it is 0.01, at the best composition of the air, i.e. mixed with dust particles and 4% of water vapor. Could anyone of us argue that the atmosphere is a near-blackbody system? No, for the only case of a near-blackbody system, but not one of those idealized systems, is moistened clay with organic matter that has an absorptivity of 0.95 20 or water vapor, with an absorptivity of 0.75 20 .

Carbon dioxide, on its own, has an absorptivity of 0.002; in the overall panorama, Oxygen, with its 0.007 of absorptivity/emissivity, is 3.5 times a better absorber/emitter than carbon dioxide. For that reason alone, carbon dioxide is not a blackbody or even a “near-blackbody” system.

Greenhouse Effect is Impossible

The IPCC adopted the work completed by Kiehl and Trenberth of the National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder Colorado to show how radiative forcing from greenhouse gases causes the earth to warm 21. Here is a statement from that paper:

The long wave radiative forcing of the climate system for both clear [125 W/m2 (watts/square meter)] and cloudy (155 W/m2 ) conditions are discussed. We find that for the clear sky case the contribution due to water vapor to the total long wave radiative forcing is 75 W/m2 , while for carbon dioxide it is 32 W/m2 .

Really, when the water vapor concentration in the atmosphere averages around 1 volume % (or 10,000 ppmv) and carbon dioxide concentration is less than 400 ppmv? The CO2 concentration is only 4% of the water vapor concentration.

In the Hottel and Egbert correlation the only 11 difference between water vapor and carbon dioxide regarding the radiation effect is their partial pressures. Partial pressures of gases are proportional to their volumetric concentrations. Based on this and using the water vapor effect as a basis at 75 W/m2 then the CO2 effect would be 3 W/m2 , not the 32 W/m2 stated.

Figure 8 shows an updated graph from the original work completed by Kiehl and Trenberth in 1997.

Figure 8. The Global Annual Mean Earth’s Energy Budget for March 2000 to May 2004 22 .

The first problem seen in this graph is a serious violation of the First Law of Thermodynamics. Completing a balance only on the energy entering and leaving the earth, one sees on the middle to left side of the graph that 161 W/m2 hits the earth from the sun. The earth then loses 97.9 W/m2 to thermal and evaporation/transpiration losses with 0.9 W/m2 being retained by the earth. This leaves only 63.1 W/m2 not accounted for. However, on the right side of the earth it shows 396 W/m2 leaving the earth.

If you only have 63.1 W/m2 available, no more than that can leave the earth. Well you say an additional 333 W/m2 in back radiation from the clouds hits the earth and this then provides the balance. Mathematically you can do anything you like of course, as long as input equals output, but where is the reality in such a computation? The only problem here is, where did this added energy come from? It came from the bogus 396 W/m2 shown radiating from the earth’s surface to the clouds.

If what was presented here were true, for every unit of energy in, one would get back an additional (396 ÷ 63.1) = 6.28 units of energy. The First Law of Thermodynamics states that energy can be transformed from one form to another but cannot be created nor destroyed. Therefore, the graph violates the First Law of Thermodynamics. It also violates the Second Law of Thermodynamics by showing energy radiating from cooler clouds back to a warmer earth.

One version of the second law states no process is possible where the sole result is the transfer of heat from a body of lower temperature to a body of higher temperature. Maybe they are still counting on the non-existent hot spot in the greenhouse signature to accomplish this. Real data shows the IPCC computer models, both for predicting the effect of CO2 on the earth’s temperature and the climate signature, are misconstrued.. As a final rebuttal of the influence of carbon dioxide over the climate, the alleged IPCC greenhouse effect is a non-existent effect.

No greenhouse, whether made from glass, plastic, cardboard or steel will reach a higher inside temperature due to the magic of re-radiated IR energy. If it did, engineers would have long ago been able to design power stations made from air, mirrors and glass, extracting more energy out of it than was put into it – if only!

Is the Climate Change Agenda a Fraud?

There is supporting evidence that indicates that the Climate Change agenda is and always has been just a fraud 23. Why do we call it a fraud? An event now referred to as Climategate publicly began on November 19, 2009, when a whistle-blower leaked thousands of emails and documents central to a Freedom of Information request placed with the Climatic Research Unit of the University of East Anglia in the United Kingdom.

This institution had played a central role in the “climate change” debate: its scientists, together with their international colleagues, quite literally put the “warming” into Global Warming: they were responsible for analyzing and collating the measurements of temperature from around the globe from the present to the distant past.

Dr. John Costello relays23,

“Climategate has shattered that myth (the myth of global warming). It gives us a peephole into the work of the scientists investigating possibly the most important issue ever to face mankind. Instead of seeing large collaborations of meticulous, careful, critical scientists, we instead see a small team abusing almost every aspect of the framework of science to build a fortress around their ‘old boys club’, to prevent real scientists from seeing the shambles of their research. Most people are aghast that this could have happened; and it is only because climate science exploded from a relatively tiny corner of academia into a hugely funded industry in a matter of mere years that the perpetrators were able to get away with it for so long.”

Stephen McIntyre, a University of Toronto mathematics graduate first questioned the accuracy of the “hockey stick” temperature graph mentioned previously. He wondered how Michael Mann, head of Penn State’s Earth System Science Centre, reconstructed the temperatures to produce such a detailed graph.

McIntyre then sent an e-mail to Michael Mann in the spring of 2003 24 , asking him for the location of the data used in his study. “Mann replied that he had forgotten the location,” he said. “However, he said that he would ask his colleague Scott Rutherford to locate the data. Rutherford then said that the information did not exist in any one location, but that he would assemble it for me. McIntyre thought this was bizarre and so do we.

Here is what was later found concerning the temperature data Mann used. Five organizations publish global temperature data 25. Two – Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) and the University of Alabama at Huntsville (UAH) – are satellite datasets. The three terrestrial institutions – NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), and the University of East Anglia’s Climatic Research Unit (CRU) – all depend on data supplied by ground stations via NOAA.

Around 1990, NOAA began weeding out more than three-quarters of the climate measuring stations around the world. It can be shown that systematically and purposefully, country by country, they removed higher-latitude, higher-altitude and rural locations, all of which had a tendency to be cooler.

The thermometers kept were near the tropics, the sea, and airports near bigger cities. These data were then used to determine the global average temperature and to initialize climate models. From 1960 through 1980, there were more than 6000 stations providing temperature information.

The NOAA reduced these to fewer than 1500. Calculating the average temperatures this way ensured that the mean global surface temperature for each month and year would show a false-positive temperature anomaly, a bogus warming trend. Interestingly, the very same stations that were deleted from the world climate network were retained for computing the average-temperature base periods, further increasing the bias towards warming. An internal study of the U.S. EPA26 completed by Dr. Alan Carlin and John Davidson concluded the IPCC was wrong about global warming.

One statement in the executive summary stated that a 2009 paper 27 found that the crucial assumption in the Greenhouse Climate Models (GCM) used by the IPCC concerning a strong positive feedback from water vapor is not supported by empirical evidence and that the feedback is actually negative. This is exactly what we have shown here, water vapor in the atmosphere causes a cooling effect, not a warming one.

EPA tried to bury the report. An email from Al McGartland, Office Director of EPA’s National Center for Environmental Economics (NCEE), to Dr. Alan Carlin, Senior Operations Research Analyst at NCEE, forbade him from speaking to anyone outside NCEE on endangerment issues. In a March 17 email from McGartland to Carlin, stated that he will not forward Carlin’s study.

“The time for such discussion of fundamental issues has passed for this round. The administrator (Lisa Jackson) and the administration have decided to move forward on endangerment, and your comments do not help the legal or policy case for this decision. …. I can only see one impact of your comments given where we are in the process, and that would be a very negative impact on our office.”

A second email from McGartland stated “I don’t want you to spend any additional EPA time on climate change.” McGartland’s emails demonstrate that he was rejecting Dr. Carlin’s study because its conclusions ran counter to the EPA’s current position.

Yet this study had its basis in three prior reports by Carlin (two in 2007 and one in 2008) that were accepted. Another government coverup, just what the United States does not need. The US Dept of Energy knows what is going on:

“Based on preliminary data from satellite measurements, Ramanathan and his colleagues concluded that clouds appear to cool Earth’s climate, possibly offsetting the atmospheric greenhouse effect.” 28

Yet they continue to make basic errors, even stating that “The decay time or residence time for carbon dioxide ranges from around 150 to about 500 years. Without carbon dioxide absorbers (sinks), the carbon dioxide residence time would be only 3.9 years, which is precisely its exchange rate.” What they ought to state is that with carbon dioxide absorbers (sinks), the carbon dioxide residence time is only 3.9 years.

They know the truth but can’t say it, why? Further, Dr. Noor van Andel in January 2011 updated his paper, CO2 and Climate Change 29, and explains in detail how climate scientists adjusted radiosonde (weather balloon) data to try to bring it into agreement with their computer models to show greenhouse gas induced global warming.

This is quite the opposite of the normal scientific procedure of adjusting the models to fit the data. The unadjusted data does not show the elusive “hot spot” (greenhouse gas signature) predicted by climate models and conventional ‘greenhouse’ theory.

Most of the U.S. House of representatives agree with the fraud assessment. On February 19, 2011 they voted to eliminate U.S. funding for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. With a vote of 244-179, they said that it no longer wishes to have the IPCC prepare its comprehensive international climate science assessments. The amendment was sponsored by Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer (R-Missouri).

He said;

“The IPCC scientists manipulated climate data, suppressed legitimate arguments in peerreviewed journals, and researchers were asked to destroy emails, so that a small number of climate alarmists could continue to advance their environmental agenda. Since then, more than 700 acclaimed international scientists have challenged the claims made by the IPCC, in this comprehensive 740-page report. These scientists represent some of the most respected institutions at home and around the world, including the U.S. Departments of Energy and Defense, U.S. Air Force and Navy, and even the Environmental Protection Agency”.


Based on empirical data, CO2 causing global warming is clearly a figment of the UN IPCC’s imagination. The only actual physical attribute that can be ascribed to atmospheric carbon dioxide is one of increasing the cooling efficiency of the total atmosphere, as recently demonstrated by Dr Noor van Andel 29. For that matter, as discussed, all greenhouse gases, including the most notorious water vapor and carbon dioxide, cool the planet. Taxing carbon will have a deleterious effect on the economies of the world.

Many scientists, including the authors, see global warming from CO2 as a cruel global hoax. *


Robert Ashworth is a chemical engineer and member of the American Geophysical Union. He holds 16 US patents and some foreign patents on coal conversion processes and environmental control technologies. In 2001 the Kentucky Governor Paul Patton commissioned him a Kentucky Colonel for his work on clean coal technology.

Nasif Nahle is a University Professor and Director of the Scientific Research Division at Biology Cabinet, Mexico; a Biologist, 1st. Level Certificate in Scientific ICAM Research by the University of Harvard and certificated in Physics, Climatology, Meteorology, Paleontology and Geology. He’s a member of the American Association for the Advancement of Science and the American Physical Society.

Hans Schreuder is a retired analytical chemist and now webmaster of the I Love My Carbon Dioxide website where he has been promoting scientific scepticism about the man-made aspect of climate change. He is also a co-author of the world’s first book debunking the climate change hype based on the imaginary “greenhouse effect” – Slaying the Sky Dragon: Death of the Greenhouse Gas Theory”. 15


1. Ross, R. J., and Elliott, W.P., “Radiosonde-Based Northern Hemisphere Tropospheric Water Vapor Trends” Journal of Climate, Vol. 14, 1602-1612, July 7, 2000.

2. Petit, J.R., et. al., “Climate and Atmospheric History of the past 420,000 years from the Vostok Ice Core, Antarctica”, Nature 399: 429-436, June 3, 1999.

3. Minnis, P., “Clouds Caused by Aircraft Exhaust May Warm the U. S. Climate”, NASA Release 04-140, April 27, 2004.

4. Travis, D., A. Carleton, and R. Lauritsen, 2002: Contrails reduce daily temperature range. Nature, 418, 601.

5. Minnis, P., J. K. Ayers, R. Palikonda, and D. N. Phan, 2004: Contrails, cirrus trends, and climate. J. Climate, 17, 1671-1685.



8. D’Aleo, J. S., “Correlation Last Decade and This Century CO2 and Global Temperatures Not There” The authors updated the graph to extend from the original 2008 end period until the end of November, 2010 using CO2 data from the Mauna Loa Observatory and temperature data from NASA’s Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU) for the troposphere and the other from the UK’s Hadley Climate Research Unit for the land and sea; the data sources use are the same as that used by D’Aleo in the original graph.


10. NASA Earth Observatory, based on IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (2007) ( and Hadley Climate Research Unit, Global Temperature Record, Phil Jones,

11. Pearch, R.W. and Bjorkman, O., “Physiological effects”, in Lemon, E.R. (ed.), CO 2 and Plants: The Response of Plants to Rising Levels of Atmospheric CO2 (Boulder, Colorado: Westview Press, 1983), pp 65-105

12. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2007, p. 675, based on Santer et al, 2003. See also IPCC, 2007, Appendix 9C). Authors added actual temperature data from 1998 to Nov. 2010.

13. David Evans, “Carbon Emissions Don’t Cause Global Warming”, November 28, 2007,

14. Hottel and Egbert, Trans. American Society of Mechanical Engineers, Vol. 63, p. 297, 1941

15. Wolfe, Robert W. and Wolfe, Mary Jane. Taking Earth’s Temperature-Blackbody Earth.

16. Modest, Michael F. Radiative Heat Transfer-Second Edition. 2003. Elsevier Science, USA and Academic Press, UK.

17. Thomas Engel and Philip Reid. Thermodynamics, Statistical, Thermodynamics & Kinetics. 2006. Pearson Education, Inc. Pp. 13, 16, 355

18. Peixoto, José P., Oort, Abraham H. 1992. Physics of Climate. Springer-Verlag New York Inc. New York. Page 8.

19. Mader, Sylvia S. Human Biology. 2004. The McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. New York.

20. Manrique, José Ángel V. Transferencia de Calor. 2002. Oxford University Press. England

21. J. T. Kiehl and Kevin E. Trenberth, Earth’s Annual Global Mean Energy Budget, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 78, No. 2, page 206, February 1997 (adopted by IPCC 2007)

22. Trenberth, K. E., Fasullo, J. T. and Kiehl, J., “Earth’s global energy budget”, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 90, 311–323, July 2008 16

23. Costella, J.P., “Climategate Analysis”,

24. Marcel Crok, “Breaking the hockey stick”,

25. D’Aleo, J. and Watts A., “Surface Temperature Records: Policy of Deception?”

26. Carlin, A. and Davidson, J, “Proposed NCEE Comments on Draft technical Support Document for Endangerment Analysis for Greenhouse Gas Emissions under the Clean Air Act”, March 9, 2009.

27. Gregory, Ken 2009, Climate Changing Science, http://www.friends of

28. Alternatives to Traditional Transportation Fuels 1994, Volume 2, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Appendix A The Chemistry and Physics of Global Warming: An Overview

29. Andel, Noor van, Climate changes are not caused by greenhouse gases

Comments (5)

  • Avatar

    Carl Brehmer


    Excellant Work!

    You realize of course that when it becomes obvious that the Earth is entering a cooling period, as is predicted by many scientists, they will flip their argument and say that we must urgently reduce carbon dioxide emissions via a global carbon tax because the carbon dioxide being produced by human activity is not only threatening but is already causing catastrophic global cooling.

    In short, regardless of what happens with the climate, it will be our fault and the cure will be to pay them money and submit to their rule. 🙁


    • Avatar

      Jeff Greenwell


      You are absolutely correct Carl !!! … What you say is an almost certainty. What I am curious about, is how they are going to attempt that “flip”. They are going to have to twist themselves into pretzels in contradiction to explain away their “we’re all going to burn alive” montra. It certainly will be interesting to watch, which I why I am purchasing popcorn futures.

      • Avatar

        Carl Brehmer


        They will only be returning to their roots, because the headlines have already been written:

        1970 – Colder Winters Held Dawn of New Ice Age – Scientists See Ice Age In the Future (The Washington Post, January 11, 1970)
        1970 – Is Mankind Manufacturing a New Ice Age for Itself? (L.A. Times, January 15, 1970)
        1970 – New Ice Age May Descend On Man (Sumter Daily Item, January 26, 1970)
        1970 – Pollution Prospect A Chilling One (Owosso Argus-Press, January 26, 1970)
        1970 – Pollution’s 2-way ‘Freeze’ On Society (Middlesboro Daily News, January 28, 1970)
        1970 – Cold Facts About Pollution (The Southeast Missourian, January 29, 1970)
        1970 – Pollution Could Cause Ice Age, Agency Reports (St. Petersburg Times, March 4, 1970)
        1970 – Pollution Called Ice Age Threat (St. Petersburg Times, June 26, 1970)
        1970 – Dirt Will .Bring New Ice Age (The Sydney Morning Herald, October 19, 1970)
        1971 – Ice Age Refugee Dies Underground (The Montreal Gazette, Febuary 17, 1971)
        1971 – U.S. Scientist Sees New Ice Age Coming (The Washington Post, July 9, 1971)
        1971 – Ice Age Around the Corner (Chicago Tribune, July 10, 1971)
        1971 – New Ice Age Coming – It’s Already Getting Colder (L.A. Times, October 24, 1971)
        1971 – Another Ice Age? Pollution Blocking Sunlight (The Day, November 1, 1971)
        1971 – Air Pollution Could Bring An Ice Age (Harlan Daily Enterprise, November 4, 1971)
        1972 – Air pollution may cause ice age (Free-Lance Star, February 3, 1972)
        1972 – Scientist Says New ice Age Coming (The Ledger, February 13, 1972)
        1972 – Scientist predicts new ice age (Free-Lance Star, September 11, 1972)
        1972 – British expert on Climate Change says Says New Ice Age Creeping Over Northern Hemisphere (Lewiston Evening Journal, September 11, 1972)
        1972 – Climate Seen Cooling For Return Of Ice Age (Portsmouth Times, ‎September 11, 1972‎)
        1972 – New Ice Age Slipping Over North (Press-Courier, September 11, 1972)
        1972 – Ice Age Begins A New Assault In North (The Age, September 12, 1972)
        1972 – Weather To Get Colder (Montreal Gazette, ‎September 12, 1972‎)
        1972 – British climate expert predicts new Ice Age (The Christian Science Monitor, September 23, 1972)
        1972 – Scientist Sees Chilling Signs of New Ice Age (L.A. Times, September 24, 1972)
        1972 – Science: Another Ice Age? (Time Magazine, November 13, 1972)
        1973 – The Ice Age Cometh (The Saturday Review, March 24, 1973)
        1973 – Weather-watchers think another ice age may be on the way (The Christian Science Monitor, December 11, 1973)
        1974 – New evidence indicates ice age here (Eugene Register-Guard, May 29, 1974)
        1974 – Another Ice Age? (Time Magazine, June 24, 1974)
        1974 – 2 Scientists Think ‘Little’ Ice Age Near (The Hartford Courant, August 11, 1974)
        1974 – Ice Age, worse food crisis seen (The Chicago Tribune, October 30, 1974)
        1974 – Believes Pollution Could Bring On Ice Age (Ludington Daily News, December 4, 1974)
        1974 – Pollution Could Spur Ice Age, Nasa Says (Beaver Country Times, ‎December 4, 1974‎)
        1974 – Air Pollution May Trigger Ice Age, Scientists Feel (The Telegraph, ‎December 5, 1974‎)
        1974 – More Air Pollution Could Trigger Ice Age Disaster (Daily Sentinel – ‎December 5, 1974‎)
        1974 – Scientists Fear Smog Could Cause Ice Age (Milwaukee Journal, December 5, 1974)
        1975 – Climate Changes Called Ominous (The New York Times, January 19, 1975)
        1975 – Climate Change: Chilling Possibilities (Science News, March 1, 1975)
        1975 – B-r-r-r-r: New Ice Age on way soon? (The Chicago Tribune, March 2, 1975)
        1975 – Cooling Trends Arouse Fear That New Ice Age Coming (Eugene Register-Guard, ‎March 2, 1975‎)
        1975 – Is Another Ice Age Due? Arctic Ice Expands In Last Decade (Youngstown Vindicator – ‎March 2, 1975‎)
        1975 – Is Earth Headed For Another Ice Age? (Reading Eagle, March 2, 1975)
        1975 – New Ice Age Dawning? Significant Shift In Climate Seen (Times Daily, ‎March 2, 1975‎)
        1975 – There’s Troublesome Weather Ahead (Tri City Herald, ‎March 2, 1975‎)
        1975 – Is Earth Doomed To Live Through Another Ice Age? (The Robesonian, ‎March 3, 1975‎)
        1975 – The Ice Age cometh: the system that controls our climate (The Chicago Tribune, April 13, 1975)
        1975 – The Cooling World (Newsweek, April 28, 1975)
        1975 – Scientists Ask Why World Climate Is Changing; Major Cooling May Be Ahead (PDF) (The New York Times, May 21, 1975)
        1975 – In the Grip of a New Ice Age? (International Wildlife, July-August, 1975)
        1975 – Oil Spill Could Cause New Ice Age (Milwaukee Journal, December 11, 1975)
        1976 – The Cooling: Has the Next Ice Age Already Begun? [Book] (Lowell Ponte, 1976)
        1977 – Blizzard – What Happens if it Doesn’t Stop? [Book] (George Stone, 1977)
        1977 – The Weather Conspiracy: The Coming of the New Ice Age [Book] (The Impact Team, 1977)
        1976 – Worrisome CIA Report; Even U.S. Farms May be Hit by Cooling Trend (U.S. News & World Report, May 31, 1976)
        1977 – The Big Freeze (Time Magazine, January 31, 1977)
        1977 – We Will Freeze in the Dark (Capital Cities Communications Documentary, Host: Nancy Dickerson, April 12, 1977)
        1978 – The New Ice Age [Book] (Henry Gilfond, 1978)
        1978 – Little Ice Age: Severe winters and cool summers ahead (Calgary Herald, January 10, 1978)
        1978 – Winters Will Get Colder, ‘we’re Entering Little Ice Age’ (Ellensburg Daily Record, January 10, 1978)
        1978 – Geologist Says Winters Getting Colder (Middlesboro Daily News, January 16, 1978)
        1978 – It’s Going To Get Colder (Boca Raton News, ‎January 17, 1978‎)
        1978 – Believe new ice age is coming (The Bryan Times, March 31, 1978)
        1978 – The Coming Ice Age (In Search Of TV Show, Season 2, Episode 23, Host: Leonard Nimoy, May 1978)
        1978 – An Ice Age Is Coming Weather Expert Fears (Milwaukee Sentinel, November 17, 1978)
        1979 – A Choice of Catastrophes – The Disasters That Threaten Our World [Book] (Isaac Asimov, 1979)
        1979 – Get Ready to Freeze (Spokane Daily Chronicle, October 12, 1979)
        1979 – New ice age almost upon us? (The Christian Science Monitor, November 14, 1979)


        • Avatar

          Jeff Greenwell


          They’re going to have to be a little more crafty this time around though. They have already dug themselves an insurmountable hole with their AGW BS… Backing out of that is going to be a difficult task to say the least. Even the AGW disciples are going to be raising some eyebrows when the church of AGW suddenly begins yelling about AGC.

  • Avatar

    Joseph A Olson


    “The way to control the opposition is to lead it ourselves” ~ Lenin

    This concocted, elitist agenda driven hoax has been obvious to the learned, objective scientists for decades. The authors of Slaying the Sky Dragon and founders of Principia Scientific have been explaining the technical defects to the Alarmist Big Warmists and claimed skeptic, Luke Little Warmists with limited success, however Truth is an unbeatable foe, and every epiphany is permanent.

    Share Truth….it is your duty as an Earthling….

Comments are closed