Carbon Dioxide Emissions on Steady Upward Trend

Written by Paul Homewood

 

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Carbon Tracker have calculated some provisional data for global carbon dioxide emissions this year. They show a rise of 0.6%, slightly slower than the last two years, but this is largely due to a slowdown in economic growth.

From Voice of America:

Carbon dioxide emissions rose in 2019 for the third straight year, according to the latest Global Carbon Project estimate, and do not look set to fall before the end of the next decade.

This is more bad news for United Nations negotiators in Madrid to consider as they aim to hammer out rules for implementing the 2015 Paris international agreement on limiting climate change.

This year’s 0.6% growth in CO2 emissions is slower than the previous two years. Steep declines in coal use in the United States and Europe, combined with weaker global economic growth, were behind the slowdown, the report says.

But slowing growth is not enough. A recent United Nations report said emissions must decline by at least 2.7% per year to keep the planet from overheating.

Emissions look likely to continue in the wrong direction for years to come, according to Stanford University Earth scientist Rob Jackson, chair of the Global Carbon Project, the international research consortium that published the findings Tuesday in Earth System Science Data.

“I am, I have to confess, not very optimistic that in a five-to-year timescale, we’ll see a peak in emissions,” he said. “I hope I’m wrong. I really hope I’m wrong.”

https://www.voanews.com/science-health/carbon-dioxide-emissions-steady-upward-trend

The figure of 2.7% pa relates to the 2C warming target. In reality, empirical data suggests that global temperatures won’t go beyond that level by 2100 anyway, even if emissions do not fall.

But, according to the UN, to keep temperature rise below 1.5C (measured from pre-industrial), emissions would need to be 55% lower than in 2018 by 2030. Clearly a drop of 5.5% a year is pie in the sky, even if emissions stopped increasing now.

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Comments (8)

  • Avatar

    Andy Rowlands

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    More assumptions that the so-called ‘greenhouse effect’ is causing CO2 to drive up temperature. While CO2 continues to respond to the Medieval Warm Period, it ain’t going anywhere but up. Even if the solar minimum does continue to reduce global temperatures as it appears to be doing over the course of this year, alarmists will engage in ever more data tampering to try and convince the gullible that temperatures are continuing to rise, and continue to blame you for it.

  • Avatar

    T. C. Clark

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    The latest CO2 is 415 ppm but still no satisfactory answer to why temp is not following CO2 up….”they” say it may be Chinese pollution is blocking solar radiation….or….or….maybe the heat is hiding in the deep oceans…..even though a recent study says deep ocean temps are unchanged from the last ice age. “They” say it’s complicated…”they” don’t know why some unknown factors are preventing all powerful CO2 from warming the atmosphere….but “they” remain confident that one day…one day it’s gonna get real hot…..cause “they” have met the enemy….and that enemy is man….man who is consuming too much…and heating up the atmosphere.

  • Avatar

    Boris Badenov

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    I would like to apologize in advance for my contribution to the increase in CO2 and the horrible negative effects, WTH ever they may have been…it seems I accidentally left my propane fueled smoker going for 24 hours, after doing a lovely batch of smoked back ribs this past Sunday.

    • Avatar

      Andy Rowlands

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      Good man Boris, well done 🙂

  • Avatar

    JDHuffman

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    Strawberries, bananas, grapes (think wine), tomatoes, and trees all do better at about 600 ppm. I’m not sure we can get to that level, but it’s worth a try.

    Global temperatures are independent of CO2, so we can’t warm the planet. We’re stuck with the climate we’ve got, due to the Laws of Thermodynamics. So, as Joe Bastardi says, “Enjoy the weather, it’s the only weather you’ve got.”

  • Avatar

    Jerry

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    It is very possible the decline in the rate of increase of atmospheric co2 is due to the cooling of the oceans. As the oceans cool less co2 is released.

    The oceans are cooling and the drought in Australia is a result of that cooling.
    https://realclimatescience.com/2019/12/australian-drought/

  • Avatar

    tom0mason

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    CO2 rises and still the temperature doesn’t.
    It appears temperatures have peaked (due to the many solar forcings), and CO2 will continue to vent from the natural system. Human derived CO2 is negligible in the BIG view of things as the oceans dictate how much stays in the atmosphere.
    Nature controls CO2 levels NOT humans, we are not to blame for CO2 levels rising it is a NATURAL consequence of leaving the Little Ice Age.
    The UN bang on about CO2 level because they wish to be the ‘New World Government’. The UN and the big financiers (BIG BANKS) are trying to ensure YOU take the bait and give up your wealth and rights, so that they can govern absolutely.

  • Avatar

    Mervyn

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    After three decades of this climate alarmist nonsense, and before governments proceed to implement economically damaging climate policies, you’d think at least one politician, from somewhere around the world, would demand the UN’s IPCC produce even just a single peer reviewed study that supports its mantra that carbon dioxide emitted from human activities is causing catastrophic global warming and is the key driver of climate change.

    The reality is that the IPCC has never cited any such study in any of its climate assessment reports.

    Why?

    Because the IPCC’s mantra is false. The geological data provides no evidence that carbon dioxide has ever played a role in changing Earth’s climate.

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