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Scientists fear ‘the Big One’ is COMING as FOUR major earthquakes strike in 48 hours

Written by Jon Austin

Fears that catastrophic earthquake is building today grew after a fourth major tremor struck the same region in just 48 hours.

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There have been three large earthquakes recorded in recent days, including a major one in southern Japan which destroyed buildings and left at least 45 people injured, after Myanmar was rocked on Wednesday.

Tremors were also felt as far as 500 miles away at the national park in India where the Royal couple Kate and William were visiting.

Yesterday, The Japanese Red Cross Kumamoto Hospital confirmed 45 were injured, including five with serious injuries after a quake of magnitude 6.2 to 6.5 and a series of strong aftershocks ripped through Kumamoto city.

Several buildings were damaged or destroyed and at least six people are believed to be trapped under homes in Mashiki. Local reports said one woman was rescued in a critical condition 

Scientists say there has been an above average number of significant earthquakes across south Asia and the Pacific since the start of the year.

The increased frequency has sparked fears of a repeat of the Nepal quake of 2015, where 8,000 people died, or even worse.

Roger Bilham, seismologist of University of Colorado, said: “The current conditions might trigger at least four earthquakes greater than 8.0 in magnitude. 

“And if they delay, the strain accumulated during the centuries provokes more catastrophic mega earthquakes.”

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Yesterday’s quake in Japan was followed by a 5.9-magnitude earthquake which struck off the coast of the southern Philippines.

The earthquake happened at 2.20am (Singapore time) off Mindanao island.

Local authorities said there was no tsunami risk and that they had not received reports of casualties or damage.

In Japan, a number of buildings were destroyed by the powerful 6.4 magnitude quake.

Japan’s Meteorological Agency said the epicentre was in the Mashiki town in the Kumamoto prefecture. 

Officials said the region’s nuclear facilities were not affected.

A 6 magnitude earthquake also hit yesterday off the coast of the Pacific island of Vanuatu, according to the United States Geological Survey (USGS).

It was 53 miles from town Port Orly and the fourth one this week in the immediate area, after a 6.4-strength tremor hit a week earlier. 

Vanuatu is on the “Pacific Ring of Fire,” one of the most seismic parts of the globe and known for its earthquakes and volcanoes.

Seismologists say the Himalayan region is overdue for a tremor stronger than Nepal’s 7.9 strength quake last year.

Yesterday’s quakes take the total to nine across Asia in a period of just over three and a half months – nearly three every month.

Just five days ago, on April 10, six people died in Pakistan when a 6.6-magnitude quake hit Kabul with aftershocks in India

Two days before, on April 8, there was a magnitude 4.2 earthquake in Nepal.

Nepal had suffered a larger 5.5 magnitude one on February 22.

A month before, on January 20, there was a 6.1-magnitude earthquake in China, and 16 days earlier 11 people died when a 6.7-magnitude earthquake hit Manipur in India.

India’s disaster management experts from the Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA) said in January an 8.2 magnitude quake was due in the already ruptured Himalayan region.

The 2011 Sikkim earthquake created more rupturs in the Himalayas, on top of those caused by previous quakes, and scientists have feared the area is continually weakening with each new quake.

India’s National Institute of Disaster Management (NIDM) says stress in the mountains of the north-east and the colliding of the Himalayan plate iand the Indo-Burmese plate in the to the puts the whole region on red alert.

Techtonic plates west of the Nepal earthquake are still locked and scientists fear this is another trigger waiting to go off.

A scientific study published in Nature Geoscience said the Nepal quake: “Failed to rupture the locked portions of the Himalayan thrust beneath and west of the Kathmandu basin because of some persistent barrier of mechanical and structural origin.”

Stresses locked in this area could be released, potentially causing a massive quake.

BK Rastogi, director general of the Ahmedabad-based Institute of Seismological Research, said: “An earthquake of the same magnitude is overdue. That may happen either today or 50 years from now in the region of the Kashmir, Himachal, Punjab and Uttrakhand Himalyas. “Seismic gaps have been identified in these regions. 

“The accumulation of stress is going on everywhere. But where it will reach the elastic limit, we don’t know nor also when. But what we do know is that it is happening everywhere.” 

Read more at www.express.co.uk

Comments (5)

  • Avatar



    This site has become worthless

    Mindless comments from some plus one person endlessly trying to make up for the total indifference shown to his theory by continuously repeating the same mantra ad infinitum.

    Shut it down – it has become a joke.

  • Avatar

    Greg House


    No Rosco. He’s been trying for years now to reconcile the apparent impossibility of the warming by back radiation (the alleged mechanism of the “greenhouse effect”), where he is absolutely correct, with the nonsensical -18°C “radiative temperature of Earth”, the second being the result of molestation of the Stefan-Boltzmann equation. As a result only nonsense can come out. And it keeps coming out, unfortunately, as we can see.

    What we can learn from this case and many other similar ones, it is possible to get a degree even in physics without actually being smart. Look at all those attempts to “explain” that physically impossible 33°C difference they calculate without proper understanding of what they are doing.

    P.S. Yes, I know Rosco, your experiment etc. …please not again … you are a genius too, never mind…

    • Avatar



      Greg I know you cannot even comprehend what you read and then display this with a series of meaningless repetitive nonsense.

      Joe has said nothing more than the atmosphere has mass and a thermal capacity and as such it has a temperature which it acquires from the action of sunlight heating the surfaces through contact and spread by convection over land and primarily by evaporation over water surfaces – and to remove silly objections there is some direct absorption as well.

      He also stated clearly the atmosphere is warmest at the bottom because this corresponds to the greatest density.

      It is climate scientists who make stupid comparisons such as comparing the airless Moon to Earth.

      And Greg – no matter how many times you deny it you cannot understand the simple reality that 2 power sources can heat something more than one.

      You have no evidence for your beliefs – none at all.

      If you did you’d cite them but all you do is snipe at anyone without offering anything other than your discredited personal beliefs.

      You don’t even understand what my little experiment demonstrated because it challenges your belief system.

      If you had any faith in your self you’d prove it wrong but you lack even that tiny level of ambition.

      As usual you can’t even comprehend a simple argument.

  • Avatar

    Greg House


    Hi John,

    I have something to say on the last Joe’s masterpiece here, since the comments there are disabled. Unfortunately, the guy has lost his ability to think properly, let me demonstrate why I think so.

    Look at this easy example. Forget the Sun, the radiation, Stefan-Boltzmann and the IPCC for a minute. Just imagine a let’s say 50°C hot plate in a vacuum. If you put another colder plate on it, it can not get warmer than the first one, right? Otherwise we could put a third one on the second one and it would get even hotter than the second one, and so the forth one, the fifth one and so on, clearly absurd.

    Now, genius Joe suggests if you put some gas on the second one, then 50°C would be found somewhere above the bottom, so the bottom must get hotter than 50°C! Well, this is a nice thing, because now we can put the third plate on the second one and the same way it would get even hotter than the second one! It is really, really nice! Actually, we do not need to start with the pleasant 50°C, we can start with 0°C, just with a chunk of ice. And reach this way let’s say 100°C, isn’t it wonderful. Which means you can boil water by using just ice as an energy source!

    Please next time read what he writes critically and please enable comments, it will be useful and we will have a lot of fun at the same time.

    • Avatar



      As usual Greg shows just how clueless he really is.

      Joe said the gas held in place by a gravity filed would always be hotter closer to the hot surfaces.

      The temperature decreases with altitude above the hot surfaces. The gas temperature is derived from the surface cooling.

      Sheesh Greg – you need to cease displaying your lack of intelligence.

      I completely understand why Joe doesn’t like comments here – you are the perfect example of how difficult it is to stop clueless people spreading meaningless BS that the author didn’t even write.

      You could always comment on his site as you used to but you don’t have the brains or guts to enter into any meaningful discussion – you simply prattle on with your failed attempts to understand anything about the subjects under discussion.

      Why don’t you and Doug actually submit any article for publication here and we can see how talented you really are ?

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