Dr Nicola Scafetta’s newly-published paper showing strong evidence supporting the planetary theory of solar variation due to gravitational and electro-magnetic forces. Tellingly, the theory and the associated evidence has never been factored into any official climate change models for earth. As such, this new line of research may go some way towards explaining why climate models have notoriously low reliability.
After complex analysis Dr. Scafetta‘s new paper shows there exists a clear signature for the 1.09-year Earth-Jupiter conjunction cycle, in particular during solar cycle 23 maximum with the Jupiter side of the Sun being slightly brighter during solar maxima.
This has led Scafetta and his colleagues to conjecture that on annual and sub-annual scales both gravitational and electro-magnetic planet-sun interactions and internal non-linear feedbacks may be modulating solar activity.
Scafetta has long argued, “At least 60% of the warming of the Earth observed since 1970 appears to be induced by natural cycles which are present in the solar system.”
Scafetta proposed that the gravitational energy released by the planetary tides to the sun may trigger slight nuclear fusion rate variations by enhancing solar plasma mixing. In fact, solar plasma is made of protons and electrons that can freely move and interact through electromagnetic forces. Under gravitational perturbations electrons and protons may drift in opposite directions perpendicular to the gravitational forces generating micro currents in the plasma.
Dr. Scafetta advises, “In general solar records present peaks at about 85-90 year and 200-215 year, and they are well known. These frequencies can be easily reconstructed by planetary harmonics. In general these statistical tests need to use the physical statistical error in the data instead of generic white or red errors definition. One never knows if the problem is the data or the statistical test.”
The time series of total solar irradiance (TSI) satellite observations since
1978 provided by ACRIM and PMOD TSI composites are studied. We find
empirical evidence for planetary-induced forcing and modulation of solar
activity. Power spectra and direct data pattern analysis reveal a clear
signature of the 1.09-year Earth-Jupiter conjunction cycle, in particular
during solar cycle 23 maximum. This appears to suggest that the Jupiter side
of the Sun is slightly brighter during solar maxima. The effect is observed
when the Earth crosses the Sun-Jupiter conjunction line every 1.09 years.
Multiple spectral peaks are observed in the TSI records that are coherent
with known planetary harmonics such as the spring, orbital and synodic
periods among Mercury, Venus, Earth and Jupiter: the Mercury-Venus
spring-tidal cycle (0.20 year); the Mercury orbital cycle (0.24 year); the
Venus-Jupiter spring-tidal cycle (0.32 year); the Venus-Mercury synodic
cycle (0.40 year); the Venus-Jupiter synodic cycle (0.65 year); and the
Venus-Earth spring tidal cycle (0.80 year). Strong evidence is also found
for a 0.5-year TSI cycle that could be driven by the Earth’s crossing the
solar equatorial plane twice a year and may indicate a latitudinal
solar-luminosity asymmetry. Because both spring and synodic planetary cycles
appear to be present and the amplitudes of their TSI signatures appear
enhanced during sunspot cycle maxima, we conjecture that on annual and
sub-annual scales both gravitational and electro-magnetic planet-sun
interactions and internal non-linear feedbacks may be modulating solar
activity. Gravitational tidal forces should mostly stress spring cycles
while electro-magnetic forces could be linked to the solar wobbling
dynamics, and would mostly stress the synodic cycles. The observed
statistical coherence between the TSI records and the planetary harmonics is
confirmed by three alternative tests.
Scafetta’s new paper is behind a paywall and may be purchased on Springer.com for $39.95 / €34.95 / £29.95 The title is:
Scafetta N, Willson R.C. (2013). Empirical evidences for a planetary modulation of total solar irradiance and the TSI signature of the 1.09-year Earth-Jupiter conjunction cycle. Astrophysics and Space Science. DOI: 10.1007/s10509-013-1558-3
Dr. Scafetta adds, “Numerous other articles referring to the planetary theory of solar variation and its implication also for climate change science published since 2010 can be downloaded from my personal web-sitehttp://people.duke.edu/~ns2002/
For those who may be interested, Nicola has recently published an extended popular “invited review” about his research referring to the planetary theory of solar variation and its implications also about climate change:Scafetta N., 2013. Solar and planetary oscillation control on climate change: hind-cast, forecast and a comparison with the CMIP5 GCMs. Energy & Environment 24(3-4), 455–496. DOI: 10.1260/0958-305X.24.3-4.455.
Free download is available from here: