BBC Weatherman Fails in ‘Unprecedented’ UK Flooding Claim

Written by Jaime Jessop

In response to me linking to my latest blog post on Twitter, BBC weatherman and meteorologist Simon King pointed me to this graph of UK annual rainfall  since 1910 which shows a significant increase in trend since 1980 – a point which he made when being interviewed on BBC FiveLive apparently.

uk

Aside from the fact that the UK series is very much shorter than the EWP which goes back to 1766, there is indeed a marked positive trend in UK annual rainfall, starting around 1973, and exceeding that of 1910. Here is the corresponding graph for England:

england

And for Wales:

wales

Though the same trend exists, it is not very pronounced. It is more pronounced for Northern Ireland:

northern_ireland

It is a lot more pronounced for Scotland:

scotland

Thus, it would appear that the overall increase in annual UK precipitation from 1973 is due in large measure to an increase in rainfall in Scotland, with a lesser contribution from Northern Ireland and only very minor contributions from England and Wales.

Cumbria, Lancashire and Yorkshire are of course in England and the Environment Agency is of course responsible only for flood defences in England. So pointing out that rainfall in the UK has increased significantly, when much of that increase has been in Scotland and Northern Ireland, is not that relevant, particularly when the flooding in England has provoked sharp criticism of England’s freshwater flood preparedness measures as managed (badly, it seems) by the Environment Agency. It is even more irrelevant in that even the UK annual rainfall data shows there has been no really significant increase in Winter precipitation since 1910, the issue at present being winter rainfall causing flooding.

uk1

2014 again stands out but there is very little overall increase in trend since 1910. Given the fact that winter 2015/16 still has 2 more months to go, it may or may not turn out out to be a particularly wet winter overall.

The lesson here (if there is one) is, don’t listen to BBC Radio FiveLive if you want all the facts about current severe flooding and what may be contributing to it.

Read more at climatecontrarian.wordpress.com

Comments (1)

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    Rosco

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    Doug the only joke here is to witness your display of insanity by endlessly pleading for someone – anyone – to recognize your “genius”.

    I have no doubt real advancements in science have been made by people uncovering some truth the consensus opposes – perhaps you should take your claims to the wider public ?

    You seem to have trouble with the concepts of night and day, heating and cooling, summer and winter and that the radiation from the Sun can start fires, cause water to boil, make damaged space stations unbearably hot and uninhabitable etc etc.

    I suggest you contact a decent therapist to help you deal with rejection.

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